Is it running?

On-site gas at AI campuses, checked from orbit and from plant records

Many AI campuses plan their own gas power. We checked which plants burn gas today, using Sentinel-5P satellite readings of nitrogen dioxide and state and federal plant records.

Most on-site gas is still on paper: only 5 plants burn gas today. Of 42.6 GW of on-site generation filed (permitted or applied for) at 28 campuses that have reached site work or beyond, 2.2 GW is running.

2.2 GW
Running (5 campuses)
0.6 GW
Installed, but not shown running (2 campuses)
39.8 GW
Not built yet (19 campuses)
none stated
No public record of a plant (2 campuses)

On-site generation filed (permitted or applied for), in GW, at campuses with site work started or further along, grouped by what plant records show. Campuses with no filing show a dash.

The clear case

At Colossus 2, the turbines are burning gas

Nitrogen dioxide over the Southaven turbine yard, net of the rural background, is about 4.4× last summer’s level. Gas booked on the pipeline implies roughly 760–1,030 MW of IT power draw (scheduled, not metered). And Mississippi’s environmental regulator (MDEQ) wrote in a July 2026 agreed order that the temporary turbines operate at the site.

NO₂ over Colossus 2 and over open country (µmol/m²)
050100150Jan 2025AprJulOctJan 2026AprJulOctOver the campusOpen country
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026JulOver the campusOpen country
Lines: 7-day (daily) / 3-week (weekly) averages; gaps from cloud filled by straight-line interpolation; dots are raw readings. Shaded: July–September 2025 and 2026, averaging about 9 and 41 µmol/m² above open country.

Gas booked on the pipeline

Texas Gas Transmission's public postings show how much gas is booked each day for delivery to MZX Tech, the xAI company that runs the Southaven turbines. The record opens on July 23, 2026 at 180,000 dekatherms a day. Bookings averaged about 223,400 a day in September: enough gas for roughly 810–980 MW of turbine output, or about 600–820 MW of IT power draw once cooling and losses are taken out. Oct 1–13: xAI's operator booked zero gas on the pipeline for 13 straight days; that is in the pipeline's own daily postings, not missing data. Bookings restarted Oct 14 at a new meter. Satellite NO2 over the site did not drop in those days, so the turbines may have run on fuel from another source, or the NO2 came from other plants in the area (TVA's Southaven plant sits in the same box). The public records can't settle which. From Oct. 15 to Oct. 22 they averaged about 281,600 a day, or 760–1,030 MW of IT power draw, with a high of 307,709 on Oct. 22.

Firm contract, 193,200 Dth/dSep average = 600–820 MW ITOct 15–22 = 760–1,030 MW ITNo gas booked0100k200k300k400kDth/dJul 23: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 24: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 25: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 26: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 27: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 28: 180,000 Dth/d booked, about 480–660 MW of IT power drawJul 29: 190,000 Dth/d booked, about 510–690 MW of IT power drawJul 30: 190,000 Dth/d booked, about 510–690 MW of IT power drawJul 31: 190,000 Dth/d booked, about 510–690 MW of IT power drawAug 1: 190,000 Dth/d booked, about 510–690 MW of IT power drawAug 2: 190,000 Dth/d booked, about 510–690 MW of IT power drawAug 3: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 4: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 5: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 6: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 7: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 8: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 9: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 10: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 11: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 12: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 13: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 14: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 15: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 16: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 17: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 18: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 19: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 20: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 21: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 22: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 23: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 24: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 25: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 26: 195,000 Dth/d booked, about 520–710 MW of IT power drawAug 27: 207,000 Dth/d booked, about 560–760 MW of IT power drawAug 28: 207,000 Dth/d booked, about 560–760 MW of IT power drawAug 29: 207,000 Dth/d booked, about 560–760 MW of IT power drawAug 30: 207,000 Dth/d booked, about 560–760 MW of IT power drawAug 31: 215,000 Dth/d booked, about 580–790 MW of IT power drawSep 1: 215,000 Dth/d booked, about 580–790 MW of IT power drawSep 2: 215,000 Dth/d booked, about 580–790 MW of IT power drawSep 3: 215,000 Dth/d booked, about 580–790 MW of IT power drawSep 4: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 5: 219,998 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 6: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 7: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 8: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 9: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 10: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 11: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 12: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 13: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 14: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 15: 216,939 Dth/d booked, about 580–790 MW of IT power drawSep 16: 224,737 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 17: 220,000 Dth/d booked, about 590–800 MW of IT power drawSep 18: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 19: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 20: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 21: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 22: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 23: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 24: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 25: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 26: 225,000 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 27: 223,893 Dth/d booked, about 600–820 MW of IT power drawSep 28: 239,035 Dth/d booked, about 640–870 MW of IT power drawSep 29: 240,000 Dth/d booked, about 640–880 MW of IT power drawSep 30: 247,830 Dth/d booked, about 670–910 MW of IT power drawOct 14: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 15: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 16: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 17: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 18: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 19: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 20: 278,000 Dth/d booked, about 750–1,020 MW of IT power drawOct 21: 277,303 Dth/d booked, about 740–1,010 MW of IT power drawOct 22: 307,709 Dth/d booked, about 830–1,120 MW of IT power draw≈ 270–370 MW IT≈ 540–730 MW IT≈ 810–1,100 MW IT≈ 1,070–1,460 MW ITNO₂ over the site minus background, µmol/m² (dots: days; line: 7-day average)0100200Jul 26: NO₂ +27 µmol/m² above backgroundJul 27: NO₂ +26 µmol/m² above backgroundJul 28: NO₂ +25 µmol/m² above backgroundJul 30: NO₂ +33 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 4: NO₂ +30 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 5: NO₂ +37 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 10: NO₂ +30 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 11: NO₂ +13 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 14: NO₂ +27 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 15: NO₂ +28 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 16: NO₂ +34 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 18: NO₂ +39 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 19: NO₂ +88 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 21: NO₂ +18 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 23: NO₂ +36 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 24: NO₂ +77 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 26: NO₂ +24 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 27: NO₂ +28 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 28: NO₂ +13 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 29: NO₂ +131 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 31: NO₂ +45 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 7: NO₂ +35 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 8: NO₂ +117 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 13: NO₂ +57 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 16: NO₂ +36 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 17: NO₂ +130 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 18: NO₂ +153 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 21: NO₂ +54 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 22: NO₂ +38 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 23: NO₂ +5 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 25: NO₂ +64 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 26: NO₂ +37 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 27: NO₂ +19 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 28: NO₂ +71 µmol/m² above backgroundSep 29: NO₂ +134 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 5: NO₂ +41 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 6: NO₂ +115 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 7: NO₂ +75 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 8: NO₂ +43 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 9: NO₂ +39 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 11: NO₂ +33 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 12: NO₂ +34 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 15: NO₂ +31 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 17: NO₂ +8 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 18: NO₂ +48 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 19: NO₂ +50 µmol/m² above backgroundOct 20: NO₂ +54 µmol/m² above backgroundAug 1Aug 15Sep 1Sep 15Oct 1Oct 15
Firm contract, 193,200 Dth/dSep average = 600–820 MW ITOct 15–22 = 760–1,030 MW ITNone booked0100k200k300k400kDth/dNO₂ excess over background0100200Aug 1Sep 1Oct 1
Gas booked per dayAverage for the period, with the IT power draw it impliesDays with nothing booked
Daily scheduled deliveries to MZX Tech LLC on Texas Gas Transmission, July 23 to Oct. 22, 2026, in dekatherms a day (k = thousand). Each 100,000 Dth/d is about 270–370 MW of IT power draw. Below: daily NO2 over the site on the same days.

Since Oct. 14, bookings have been above MZX's firm pipeline contracts (193,200 a day as of Oct 1, 2026), so the extra rides on interruptible service or newer contracts; the postings do not say which. These are booked (scheduled) quantities, not metered flow: the pipeline does not publish what was actually burned. The conversion assumes a heat rate of 9,500–11,500 Btu per kWh and a PUE of 1.2–1.35.

Every campus checked

Where the satellite sees new burning, and where it cannot

Each chart shows NO₂ over the campus (orange) and over open country nearby (blue), January 2025 to October 2026: weekly readings, then daily for the last 90 days, with cloudy gaps filled by straight-line interpolation and lines smoothed (3-week / 7-day averages). The shaded bands are July–September of each year, the season compared. Charts use their own scales. Sorted by the strength of the rise; the tag says what plant records show.

Jul–Sep 2025 and 2026Over the campusOpen country (rural comparison box)
Running
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 9.3 → 2026 41 µmol/m² above background 4.4×

The clearest case: a big uncontrolled turbine fleet in clean air, running.

Campus page →
Not built yet
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 -0.6 → 2026 3.1 µmol/m² above background (2025 near zero)

A rise, but likely construction or regional sources, no plant built yet.

Campus page →
Installed, not shown running
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 6.9 → 2026 17 µmol/m² above background 2.4×

A rise, but the box overlaps the Colossus 2 turbine yard, so it is probably Colossus 2.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 -0.8 → 2026 2.2 µmol/m² above background (2025 near zero)

A rise, but likely construction or regional sources, no plant built yet.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 14 → 2026 18 µmol/m² above background 1.3×

A rise, but likely construction or regional sources, no plant built yet.

Campus page →
Running
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 0.8 → 2026 3.7 µmol/m² above background 4.9×

A rise from a low base where engines are running; small, so read it as suggestive.

Campus page →
Not in the plant-record check
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 0.2 → 2026 2.2 µmol/m² above background (2025 near zero)

A rise, with no plant-record check yet; cause unknown.

Campus page →
Not in the plant-record check
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 -0.1 → 2026 1.5 µmol/m² above background (2025 near zero)

No clear change; no plant-record check yet.

Campus page →
Not built yet
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 2.3 → 2026 3.4 µmol/m² above background 1.5×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 1.8 → 2026 2.8 µmol/m² above background 1.6×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 2.7 → 2026 3.1 µmol/m² above background 1.2×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not in the plant-record check
02040Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 2.9 → 2026 3.3 µmol/m² above background 1.1×

No clear change; no plant-record check yet.

Campus page →
Running
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 5.1 → 2026 5.2 µmol/m² above background 1.0×

The plant runs, but the site is in suburban Columbus where traffic and industry already raise NO₂, so the satellite cannot see it.

Campus page →
Not built yetControl
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 4.5 → 2026 4.7 µmol/m² above background 1.0×

A control: a retired coal plant, no combustion expected, and no change seen.

Campus page →
Installed, not shown running
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 6.2 → 2026 6.0 µmol/m² above background 0.9×

No rise; plant records show engines installed but no sign they burn gas.

Campus page →
Not in the plant-record check
0255075Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 3.3 → 2026 2.8 µmol/m² above background 0.8×

No clear change; no plant-record check yet.

Campus page →
Not built yet
0255075Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 0.5 → 2026 -0.6 µmol/m² above background (2025 near zero)

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 8.5 → 2026 7.1 µmol/m² above background 0.8×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
0204060Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 3.2 → 2026 2.2 µmol/m² above background 0.7×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100150Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 16 → 2026 15 µmol/m² above background 0.9×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yet
050100Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 16 → 2026 12 µmol/m² above background 0.7×

No clear rise, and no plant built yet. Consistent.

Campus page →
Not built yetControl
0255075Jan 2025JulJan 2026Jul
Jul–Sep 2025 6.0 → 2026 4.7 µmol/m² above background 0.8×

A control: no plant, no change expected, and none seen.

Campus page →
Plant records

What plant records say

The latest public record for every campus with on-site gas plans that we checked, from permits, orders, federal generator inventories and court filings. Sorted by planned size within each group.

Running · 5 campuses

xAI Colossus 2 TN · 1.2 GW
Gas pipeline bookings for the site, plus a Mississippi environmental order (MDEQ) saying 69 temporary turbines operate there.
A federal lawsuit and a notice letter say both gas plants are complete and at least partly operating. Plaintiff-side evidence, not metered.
Meta Socrates South OH · 0.2 GW
A state utilities commission (PUCO) official told the Columbus Dispatch the plant began operating in August 2026.
Vantage VA2 VA · 0.1 GW
A Virginia DEQ assessment says eight turbines have run normally since April 2024, with 47,768 turbine-hours reported for 2025.
A New Jersey DEP inspection in July 2026 found 62 gas engines (123 MW) installed and running without permits; an enforcement order followed in September.

Installed, not shown running · 2 campuses

Stargate Abilene TX · 0.4 GW
The Texas (TCEQ) permit covers about 360 MW and one tracker lists a unit as operating, but no federal fuel record or startup notice is public.
xAI Colossus 1 TN · 0.2 GW
The county permit covers 15 turbines (247 MW) and 12 are installed, in backup duty; no federal fuel or emissions record shows them burning.

Not built yet · 19 campuses

Fermi Matador TX · 10.0 GW
The federal inventory lists the plant as planned; the earliest tranche is June 2027 (120 MW) and there is no fuel or generation record.
GW Ranch TX · 7.7 GW
The Texas (TCEQ) permit was issued in January 2026 and land clearing began in July, but nothing is built; first power is targeted for early 2027.
Nexus Hubbard TX · 7.2 GW
A preliminary Texas (TCEQ) permit decision came in September 2026 but was not issued; no generating unit is installed.
The federal generator inventory lists all 14 new units as planned, first operation July 2028; EPA shows zero fuel burned in August 2025 and 2026.
The developer's April 2026 filing with the New Mexico Environment Department says the microgrid is not yet built; a decision is due in November.
The West Virginia DEP permit was still in public comment in October 2026; the applicant expects startup in April 2027.
Vantage Millersport OH · 1.3 GW
Ohio EPA’s permit was still a draft and the siting board had not decided; the developer says construction of the plant has not begun.
A power deal was signed in October 2026 for a plant the developer only plans to build; construction is scheduled for 2027 to 2030.
Crusoe Goodnight TX · 0.9 GW
The 933 MW plant exists only as a January 2026 Texas (TCEQ) air-permit application.
Stargate Frontier TX · 0.8 GW
A Texas (TCEQ) standard permit allows 210 engines, but the main air permit was not issued at the cutoff; none is installed or running.
The campus has been under construction since early 2026; the 40-turbine plant is part of the planned build, with a first phase targeted for early 2028.
The developer told Utah regulators (PSC, May 2026) the plant is not yet in operation; the Utah DAQ air permit is still under review.
South Carolina regulators (PSC, August 2026) record Phase I as under construction; a Phase II permit followed in September with no startup notice.
Meta El Paso TX · 0.4 GW
El Paso Electric's Texas (PUCT) filing puts the bridge-power period at 2027; engine construction runs from August 2026 to May 2027.
Meta Bowling Green OH · 0.3 GW
Ohio siting-board and Ohio EPA permits are in hand and the plant is under construction, but there is no startup notice or operating-permit filing.
Nevada regulators (PUCN) approved temporary generation in September 2026 but barred construction until air permits are filed and verified.
The same Nevada order, and the same construction bar, as the other Tract campus.
Meta Lebanon IN · 0.1 GW
Indiana’s (IDEM) permit for the bridge power station was still a draft in October 2026, with no federal record of a plant.
The permitted 72-engine plant was still being fabricated in August 2025; Bloom fuel cells supply interim power in stages.

No public record · 2 campuses

No plant appears in federal or Pennsylvania DEP records; the only permitted combustion is the existing building’s boilers and small emergency engines.
The company is only "planning to develop" a plant: no megawatt figure, no Texas air permit and no federal record.
How to read this

Method and limits

Method

What it sees and what it misses

Plant records used

Contains modified Copernicus Sentinel data 2025–2026.